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4

West Is Awake

10yo Gelding · 11-3 · OR 109

Roscommon · Castlecoote Handicap Hurdle · 3m 25y

#6

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

On long losing run but knocking at the door earlier in the year, finishing runner-up in a big-field handicap for a second successive start at Cork (3m, good to soft) back in April. One to consider having gone well fresh previously. Tongue tie reapplied.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 10.2 /10 (raw 7.1)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C9.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Galway 27/10/2024 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 2m6f111y Yie 16627/10C?C0 @ Fairyhouse 12/11/2024 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 2m4f Goo 166C0 @ Fairyhouse 30/11/2024 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 2m5f110y Yie 16630/11C?BHA118 @ Leopardstown 28/12/2024 · Pos 10th of 20 · OR 118 · 2m7f80y Yie 141 · below its mark28/12/2024 · OR 118 par1 @ Leopardstown 01/02/2025 · Pos 14th of 25 · OR 116 · 3m19y Sft 146 · below its mark01/02/2025 · OR 116 par1/021OR 116BHA113 @ Naas 23/02/2025 · Pos 16th of 19 · OR 113 · 2m7f20y Sft 144 · below its mark23/02/2025 · OR 113 parBHA109 @ Cork 20/04/2025 · Pos 17th of 20 · OR 109 · 3m80y Sft 155 · below its mark20/04/2025 · OR 109 par20/04109OR 109BHA105 @ Fairyhouse 01/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 17 · OR 105 · 3m2f Yie 164 · below its mark01/01/2026 · OR 105 parBHA108 @ Cork 05/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR 108 · 3m15y Yie 154 · below its mark05/04/2026 · OR 108 par5/04108OR 108projClass-projected finish: 6th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-05CorkBHA1082nd2nd0
2026-01-01FairyhouseBHA1052nd2nd0
2025-04-20CorkBHA10917th17th0
2025-04-06FairyhouseBHA1100
2025-02-23NaasBHA11316th16th0
2025-02-01Leopardstown114th14th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/1028/1220/045/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/10/20246th40/10%55%+0.55
12/11/20246th16/116%17%+0.01
30/11/20248th200/10%42%+0.42
28/12/202410th50/10%53%+0.53
01/02/202514th150/10%46%+0.46
23/02/202516th33/10%17%+0.17
20/04/202517th28/10%16%+0.16
01/01/20262nd33/10%94%+0.94
05/04/20262nd18/15%93%+0.88