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3

A Snow White Park

5yo Mare · 10-8 · OR 112

Roscommon · Ballymore Group Irish EBF Kilbegnet Novice Chase (Grade 3) · 2m 107y

#3

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Had taken well to chasing prior to unseating at the Galway Festival, but soon got back on the up when winning handicap at Tramore (2¾m) 6 weeks ago. However, was allowed to build up a big lead last time, so faces a tougher ask here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲9
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 13.1 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.7
Today: 1
Class gap: -8.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Galway 28/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 2m130y Gd 15428/07C8BHA108 @ Tramore 15/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 108 · 2m80y Gd 161 · below its mark15/08/2025 · OR 108 parC8 @ Downpatrick 10/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 107 · 2m1f65y Yie 163 · below its mark10/10/2025 · OR 107 par10/10C8OR 107BHA103 @ Navan 21/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 103 · 2m Sft 149 · below its mark21/03/2026 · OR 103 parC8 @ Tramore 19/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 102 · 1m7f110y Yie 151 · below its mark19/04/2026 · OR 102 par19/04C8OR 102BHA102 @ Downpatrick 08/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 102 · 2m1f165y Goo 158 · below its mark08/05/2026 · OR 102 parBHA102 @ Tramore 29/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 102 · 2m5f180y Goo 159 · below its mark29/05/2026 · OR 102 par29/05102OR 102BHA100 @ Wexford 03/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 100 · 2m3f110y Gd 168 · below its mark03/07/2026 · OR 100 parBHA102 @ Tramore 16/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 102 · 2m6f Gd 148 · beat its mark16/08/2026 · OR 102 par16/08102OR 102projClass-projected finish: 4th of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-16TramoreBHA1021st12th−9
2026-07-28GalwayBHA102−9
2026-07-03WexfordBHA1002nd13th−9
2026-05-29TramoreBHA1022nd13th−9
2026-05-08DownpatrickBHA1025th16th−9
2026-04-19Tramore?4th12th−7

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0721/0329/0516/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength57%

Delivery trend +8.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 5. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/07/20256th11/142%50%+0.08
15/08/20258th11/271%22%-0.49
10/10/20255th8/158%20%-0.38
21/03/20269th11/142%27%-0.15
19/04/20264th12/137%57%+0.20
08/05/20265th7/282%64%-0.18
29/05/20262nd3/184%89%+0.05
03/07/20262nd14/126%92%+0.65
16/08/20261st9/276%100%+0.24