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Daddy Long Legs

7yo Gelding · 11-1

Roscommon · Ballymore Group Irish EBF Kilbegnet Novice Chase (Grade 3) · 2m 107y

#1

Rank

Odds

4/11

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

99%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Smart form over hurdles, runner-up in the Irish Champion Hurdle last year. Placed in a couple of maidens on the Flat this summer, before scoring with a fair bit in hand on chasing debut in maiden at Killarney last month. The one to beat.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲6
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.8
Today: 1
Class gap: -5.8
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Cheltenham 14/03/2025 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR 152 · 2m179y GS 168 · below its mark14/03/2025 · OR 152 par14/031OR 1522 @ Plumpton 20/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 151 · 1m7f195y Goo 168 · below its mark20/04/2025 · OR 151 parC8 @ Ballinrobe 09/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m4f202y Goo 1479/05C82 @ Southwell 20/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m4f14y Std 132BHA152 @ Ballinrobe 25/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 152 · 2m2f72y Goo 156 · beat its mark25/05/2026 · OR 152 par25/05152OR 152C8 @ Down Royal 20/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m4f207y Sft 1351 @ Limerick 02/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 150 · 2m110y Gd 155 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/07/2026 · OR 150 par2/071OR 150C8 @ Galway 29/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 18 · OR 85 · 1m4f43y Yie 166 · below its mark29/07/2026 · OR 85 parC0 @ Killarney 22/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 2m1f Goo 16622/08C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Killarney?1st1st0
2026-07-29Galway?3rd11th−7
2026-07-02Limerick12nd2nd+0
2026-06-20Down Royal?2nd10th−7
2026-05-25BallinrobeBHA1521st18th−14
2026-02-20Southwell29th10th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0320/022/0722/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength94%

Delivery trend -1.2% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 5.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/03/20259th14/126%47%+0.20
20/04/20252nd10/147%90%+0.43
09/05/20253rd4/696%75%-0.21
20/02/20269th11/271%33%-0.38
25/05/20261st8/1196%100%+0.04
20/06/20262nd10/382%88%+0.05
02/07/20262nd8/1397%75%-0.22
29/07/20263rd6/168%88%+0.20
22/08/20261st13/891%100%+0.09