Femme Magnifique
8yo Mare · 10-8 · OR 125
Roscommon · Ballymore Group Irish EBF Kilbegnet Novice Chase (Grade 3) · 2m 107y
#2
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 13.8 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Wexford | ? | 1st | 9th | −7 |
| 2026-07-17 | Killarney | BHA112 | 1st | 13th | −10 |
| 2026-06-30 | Wexford | BHA111 | 2nd | 14th | −10 |
| 2026-05-29 | Tramore | BHA105 | 1st | 12th | −10 |
| 2026-02-28 | Navan | BHA107 | 3rd | 15th | −10 |
| 2026-02-05 | Thurles | BHA109 | 8th | 20th | −10 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/12/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 01/01/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 18/01/2026 | 6th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/02/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 28/02/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 29/05/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 30/06/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 92% | +0.34 |
| 17/07/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 28/08/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |