Miss Fourie
9yo Mare · 10-8
Roscommon · Ballymore Group Irish EBF Kilbegnet Novice Chase (Grade 3) · 2m 107y
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 13.6 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Tramore | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Listowel | BHA122 | 6th | 19th | −11 |
| 2025-08-21 | Killarney | BHA122 | −11 | ||
| 2025-07-30 | Galway | BHA122 | 7th | 20th | −11 |
| 2025-07-05 | Bellewstown | BHA122 | 7th | 20th | −11 |
| 2024-11-01 | Down Royal | 1 | 4th | 4th | +0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07/2024 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 31/07/2024 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 94% | +0.94 |
| 15/08/2024 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 38% | -0.20 |
| 22/08/2024 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 01/11/2024 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 05/07/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 30/07/2025 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 60% | +0.18 |
| 27/09/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.18 |
| 16/08/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |