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Wild Bill Hickok

4yo Gelding · 10-11 · OR 133

Roscommon · Ballymore Group Irish EBF Kilbegnet Novice Chase (Grade 3) · 2m 107y

#4

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Dual winning hurdler in France who won 2 of first 3 starts over fences for current yard, scoring by a wide margin in maiden at Wexford in May and novice over this C&D the following month. Failed to give his running in Grade 3 novice at Galway, but he's worth another chance.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.8
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC1 @ Auteuil 26/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m6f200y Hvy 147 · HIGHER CLASS26/04C1C1 @ Auteuil 18/05/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 2m1f87y Hvy 145 · HIGHER CLASSC1 @ Auteuil 18/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 2m1f196y 147 · HIGHER CLASS18/09C1C0 @ Auteuil 12/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 2m1f196y Sft 147 · HIGHER CLASS2 @ Aintree 10/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 21 · OR 135 · 2m103y Goo 160 · below its mark10/04/2026 · OR 135 par10/042OR 135C0 @ Wexford 07/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 2m Goo 152C8 @ Wexford 16/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 2m Goo 15316/05C8C8 @ Roscommon 08/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 128 · 2m100y Sft 152 · beat its mark08/06/2026 · OR 128 par1 @ Galway 30/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 135 · 2m2f54y Goo 151 · below its mark30/07/2026 · OR 135 par30/071OR 135projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-30Galway16th6th0
2026-06-08Roscommon?1st9th−7
2026-05-16Wexford?3rd11th−7
2026-05-07Wexford?1st1st0
2026-04-10Aintree212th13th−1
2025-10-25Compiegne?+0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0412/1016/0530/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength66%

Delivery trend -0.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 5.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/04/20251st6/168%100%+0.32
18/05/20257th7/282%14%-0.67
18/09/20257th13/266%0%-0.66
12/10/20257th22/10%25%+0.25
10/04/202612th125/10%45%+0.45
07/05/20261st15/261%100%+0.39
16/05/20263rd11/486%50%-0.36
08/06/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
30/07/20266th5/174%17%-0.57