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7yo Mare · 10-12 · OR 102

Roscommon · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Handicap Chase · 2m 5f 131y

#3

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fairly useful hurdler, landing a Kilbeggan handicap (3m) in June. However, she's still looking for a first win over fences, making little impact tried in tongue strap when fifth of 9 in mares maiden at Ballinrobe (23f) 17 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength9%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C9.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Limerick 22/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 114 · 3m150y Sft 147 · below its mark22/03/2026 · OR 114 par22/031OR 114BHA114 @ Clonmel 26/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 114 · 2m4f63y Sft 161 · below its mark26/03/2026 · OR 114 parC8 @ Clonmel 14/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 112 · 2m4f Yie 153 · below its mark14/04/2026 · OR 112 par14/04C8OR 112BHA110 @ Down Royal 04/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 110 · 3m2f50y Gd 161 · below its mark04/05/2026 · OR 110 parBHA118 @ Kilbeggan 15/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 118 · 3m50y Gd 160 · below its mark15/05/2026 · OR 118 par15/05118OR 118BHA108 @ Limerick 21/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 108 · 2m6f160y Gd 159 · below its mark21/05/2026 · OR 108 parBHA116 @ Kilbeggan 15/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 116 · 3m100y Gd 155 · beat its mark15/06/2026 · OR 116 par15/06116OR 116BHA122 @ Kilbeggan 10/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 122 · 2m4f Goo 153 · below its mark10/07/2026 · OR 122 parBHA104 @ Ballinrobe 11/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 104 · 2m7f67y Yie 161 · below its mark11/09/2026 · OR 104 par11/09104OR 104projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11BallinrobeBHA1045th5th0
2026-08-21KilbegganBHA1060
2026-08-01Galway10
2026-07-10KilbegganBHA1225th5th0
2026-06-15KilbegganBHA1161st1st0
2026-05-21LimerickBHA1083rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/034/0515/0611/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength32%

Delivery trend +5.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/03/20264th14/126%0%-0.26
26/03/20263rd14/126%60%+0.34
14/04/20266th20/10%0%0.00
04/05/20267th7/163%0%-0.63
15/05/20266th14/126%29%+0.02
21/05/20263rd9/276%50%-0.26
15/06/20261st10/147%100%+0.53
10/07/20265th16/116%69%+0.53
11/09/20265th11/142%50%+0.08