4

Bynx
8yo Mare · 11-6 · OR 110
Roscommon · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Handicap Chase · 2m 5f 131y
#6
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Listowel | BHA108 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Kilbeggan | BHA111 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Tramore | BHA52 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Wexford | BHA112 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Tramore | BHA48 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Limerick | BHA50 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength26%
Delivery trend -2.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 58% | +0.53 |
| 09/05/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 29/05/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 30% | -0.31 |
| 10/06/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 07/07/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 08/08/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 15/08/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 73% | -0.17 |
| 04/09/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 20/09/2026 | 14th | 66/1 | 0% | 24% | +0.24 |