9
Shannon Bank
7yo Mare · 10-7 · OR 97
Roscommon · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Handicap Chase · 2m 5f 131y
#8
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Killarney | BHA99 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-30 | Wexford | BHA100 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Listowel | BHA99 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Wexford | BHA99 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-24 | Sligo | BHA99 | 0 | ||
| 2025-10-05 | Killarney | BHA96 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength43%
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 63% | -0.19 |
| 22/07/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 79% | +0.05 |
| 02/08/2025 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 20/08/2025 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 63% | -0.03 |
| 08/09/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 76% | +0.19 |
| 05/10/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 92% | +0.31 |
| 07/05/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 01/06/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 30/06/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 54% | -0.20 |