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12

Madison Twist

4yo Gelding · 11-12

Roscommon · GavinLynchRacing.com Flat Race · 1m 7f 135y

#14

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Was strong in the betting on debut, but shaped as if the run was needed when seventh of 10 in bumper at Kilbeggan 4 months ago. Interesting to see if the support arrives again making first start since leaving R. P. Rath.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Kilbeggan 31/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m7f150y Goo 16231/05C?
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-31Kilbeggan?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 5-10 · 50%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength11%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 13th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/05/20267th3/184%33%-0.51