7
Tale Of Intrigue
5yo Gelding · 12-0
Roscommon · GavinLynchRacing.com Flat Race · 1m 7f 135y
#6
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Tramore | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Cork | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Wexford | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Kilbeggan | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Punchestown | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Punchestown | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1693% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +7.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/2026 | 14th | 80/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 13/05/2026 | 10th | 150/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 15/06/2026 | 3rd | 125/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 03/07/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 03/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 14/08/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 83% | +0.57 |