5
Georgia On E'smind
5yo Mare · 8-9 · OR 68
Thistledown · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength19%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Thistledown | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-15 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength38%
Delivery trend -10.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/02/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 27/02/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 12/03/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 04/04/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 01/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 15/06/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 09/07/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 18/08/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 01/09/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 40% | -0.49 |