8
Miss Classified
5yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 73
Thistledown · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -9.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/02/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 14/03/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 03/04/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/05/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 25/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 16/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 01/07/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 22/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/10 | 94% | 67% | -0.28 |
| 04/08/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |