2
She's So Sexy
5yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 78
Thistledown · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-10 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-14 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength37%
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 03/10/2025 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 80% | -0.11 |
| 30/10/2025 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 14/01/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 05/02/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 90% | +0.01 |
| 10/03/2026 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 60% | -0.33 |
| 21/04/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 05/05/2026 | 4th | 11/10 | 94% | 25% | -0.69 |
| 09/09/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |