7
Tizzy Jojo
6yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 69
Thistledown · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-07 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength52%
Delivery trend -0.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 27/10/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 86% | +0.12 |
| 09/12/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 71% | -0.15 |
| 07/01/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 56% | -0.21 |
| 05/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 26/05/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 15/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 28/07/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 26/08/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 75% | -0.15 |