7
Oaklyn
2yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 47
Thistledown · Race 2 - Maiden Special Weight · 5f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
82%
Place Prob
59%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 2.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 2-3 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength78%
Delivery trend +5.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/6 | 96% | 67% | -0.29 |
| 23/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 67% | -0.29 |
| 24/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 71% | -0.14 |
| 09/09/2026 | 2nd | 4/6 | 96% | 80% | -0.16 |