6
Heart Of An Angel
6yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 64
Thistledown · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Thistledown | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Thistledown | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Thistledown | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength89%
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 09/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 83% | -0.05 |
| 28/10/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 16/05/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/06/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 22/06/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 13/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 20/08/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 09/09/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |