2
Jackson's Roar
4yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 57
Thistledown · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Thistledown | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-12-16 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-26 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-08-28 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength29%
Delivery trend +5.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/01/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 09/03/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/04/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/08/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 13/10/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 26/11/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 16/12/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 02/06/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/06/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |