Cupids Cavalier
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 100
Thistledown · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 5.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-08-17 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-07-27 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +31.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 17/08/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 31/08/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |