2
Mobil Truth
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 34
Thistledown · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength62%
Delivery trend +6.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 29/07/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 14% | -0.38 |
| 24/08/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 14/09/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 44% | +0.29 |