5
Indian Fever
11yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 80
Thistledown · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
89%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-27 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-24 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-21 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-20 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-11 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength91%
Delivery trend +2.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/2024 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 88% | +0.01 |
| 30/09/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 27/10/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 86% | +0.12 |
| 11/11/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 43% | -0.39 |
| 20/12/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 21/01/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 24/02/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 03/04/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 27/05/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |