6
Here Comes Dolly
6yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 56
Thistledown · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength45%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-24 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength49%
Delivery trend -10.2% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/05/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 05/02/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 20/02/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |
| 24/03/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 27/04/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 16/05/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 21/07/2026 | 3rd | 1/1 | 95% | 50% | -0.45 |
| 10/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 02/09/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |