Secret Caller
4yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 66
Thistledown · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-05-11 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 06/04/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 29/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 90% | +0.37 |
| 11/05/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 18/05/2026 | 3rd | 6/5 | 94% | 67% | -0.27 |
| 25/06/2026 | 7th | 6/5 | 94% | 0% | -0.94 |
| 28/07/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 38% | -0.44 |
| 08/08/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 02/09/2026 | 5th | 15/8 | 90% | 20% | -0.70 |