3
Shes A Storm
5yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 53
Thistledown · Race 6 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength27%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength95%
Delivery trend +4.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/01/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 26/02/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 19/03/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 07/04/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 09/06/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |
| 01/07/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 21/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 10/08/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 02/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |