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7

Rhythm 'n Blues

4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 97

Thistledown · Race 8 - Allowance · 1m

#4

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength22%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Pimlico 16/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 62 · 6f Fas 124 · beat its mark16/05/2025 · OR 62 par16/05C6OR 62C6 @ Colonial Downs 16/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 73 · 1m Fm 118 · below its mark16/07/2025 · OR 73 parC6 @ Delaware Park 28/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 77 · 1m110y Slo 120 · beat its mark28/09/2025 · OR 77 par28/09C6OR 77C5 @ Laurel Park 16/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 93 · 1m110y Fas 121 · beat its mark16/11/2025 · OR 93 parC7 @ Laurel Park 25/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 88 · 1m110y Fas 126 · beat its mark25/04/2026 · OR 88 par25/04C7OR 88C6 @ Charles Town 04/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 90 · 1m110y Fas 122 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 90 parC8 @ Thistledown 28/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 91 · 1m 123 · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 91 par28/07C8OR 91C5 @ Thistledown 12/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 100 · 1m Fas 123 · below its mark12/08/2026 · OR 100 parC5 @ Thistledown 03/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 97 · 1m 121 · beat its mark03/09/2026 · OR 97 par3/09C5OR 97projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Thistledown?1st1st0
2026-08-12Thistledown?2nd2nd0
2026-07-28Thistledown?1st4th−3
2026-07-04Charles Town?1st2nd−1
2026-04-25Laurel Park?1st3rd−2
2025-11-16Laurel Park?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0516/1128/073/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/05/20254th16/116%57%+0.41
16/07/20258th10/147%0%-0.47
28/09/20252nd5/287%86%-0.01
16/11/20252nd12/137%86%+0.49
25/04/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
04/07/20261st5/493%100%+0.07
28/07/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
12/08/20262nd3/184%75%-0.09
03/09/20261st9/276%100%+0.24