Baloo's Blues
4yo Gelding · 11-1 · OR 64
Wolverhampton · Free Tips On attheraces.com Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 1m 1f 104y
#5
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Newbury | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-27 | Lingfield | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Lingfield | 5 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-02-18 | Kempton | 5 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-01-31 | Lingfield | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 15/06/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 89% | +0.05 |
| 29/11/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 63% | -0.23 |
| 31/01/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 64% | -0.10 |
| 18/02/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 90% | +0.43 |
| 27/03/2026 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 27% | -0.52 |
| 27/06/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 23/07/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 57% | -0.06 |
| 15/09/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 91% | +0.12 |