10
Little She
4yo Filly · 10-0 · OR 49
Wolverhampton · Free Tips On attheraces.com Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 1m 1f 104y
#6
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength35%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Lingfield | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Brighton | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Beverley | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Brighton | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Chepstow | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Leicester | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength79%
Delivery trend -4.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 92% | +0.44 |
| 20/04/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 11/05/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 25/05/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 15/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 90% | +0.11 |
| 30/06/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 43% | -0.43 |
| 28/07/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 57% | -0.11 |
| 23/08/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 01/09/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |