9

Molly Valentine

6yo Mare · 10-3 · OR 52

Wolverhampton · Free Tips On attheraces.com Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 1m 1f 104y

#10

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner looks to have lost her way.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength51%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 9.4 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Wolverhampton 27/05/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 64 · 1m1f104y Std 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/05/2025 · OR 64 par27/054OR 645 @ Wolverhampton 23/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 64 · 1m1f104y Std 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/06/2025 · OR 64 par5 @ Lingfield 22/07/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 67 · 1m1f Goo 137 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/07/2025 · OR 67 par22/075OR 675 @ Wolverhampton 02/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 66 · 1m1f105y Std 138 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/09/2025 · OR 66 par6 @ Kempton 24/09/2025 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 64 · 1m2f219y Sta 134 · below its mark24/09/2025 · OR 64 par24/096OR 645 @ Lingfield 27/03/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 62 · 1m2f Std 149 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/03/2026 · OR 62 par6 @ Wolverhampton 27/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 60 · 1m142y Std 156 · beat its mark27/04/2026 · OR 60 par27/046OR 606 @ Wolverhampton 11/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 58 · 1m1f104y Std 134 · below its mark11/05/2026 · OR 58 par5 @ Wolverhampton 16/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 55 · 1m142y Std 141 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/06/2026 · OR 55 par16/065OR 55projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-16Wolverhampton510th9th+1
2026-05-11Wolverhampton610th10th0
2026-04-27Wolverhampton67th7th0
2026-03-27Lingfield512th11th+1
2025-09-24Kempton613th13th0
2025-09-02Wolverhampton58th7th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/052/0927/0416/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 7-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -4.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/05/20258th33/10%42%+0.42
23/06/20252nd25/10%91%+0.91
22/07/20259th16/116%20%+0.04
02/09/20258th16/116%22%+0.06
24/09/202513th14/126%8%-0.19
27/03/202612th80/10%0%0.00
27/04/20267th80/10%40%+0.40
11/05/202610th16/116%10%-0.06
16/06/202610th50/10%25%+0.25