Popeye Doyle
4yo Gelding · 10-12 · OR 61
Wolverhampton · Free Tips On attheraces.com Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 1m 1f 104y
#8
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 6.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Nottingham | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-06 | Ripon | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-24 | Carlisle | 4 | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2026-06-15 | Wetherby | 5 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-05-17 | Ripon | 5 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2025-12-19 | Newcastle | 4 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 04/09/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 18/10/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 19/12/2025 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 0% | -0.42 |
| 17/05/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/06/2026 | 2nd | 80/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 24/06/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 06/07/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 18/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |