
Pursuit Of Truth
5yo Gelding · 11-2 · OR 65
Wolverhampton · Free Tips On attheraces.com Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 1m 1f 104y
#1
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
21%
Place Prob
23%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Southwell | 5 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-07-07 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-02-25 | Kempton | 5 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-11-19 | Kempton | 4 | 12th | 10th | +2 |
| 2025-06-23 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-05-22 | Yarmouth | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +10.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10/2024 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 31/03/2025 | 6th | 15/8 | 90% | 17% | -0.73 |
| 15/04/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 73% | +0.25 |
| 22/05/2025 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 14% | -0.68 |
| 23/06/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 19/11/2025 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 25/02/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 07/07/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 23/07/2026 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |