1

Pursuit Of Truth

5yo Gelding · 11-2 · OR 65

Wolverhampton · Free Tips On attheraces.com Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 1m 1f 104y

#1

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

21%

Place Prob

23%

Rank

#1

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Narrow winner over C&D for Kevin Philippart de Foy last summer but just the 1 creditable effort in 4 outings for other yards since. Cut some slack by the handicapper as a result but could only consider if backed.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength59%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Newcastle 22/10/2024 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 69 · 1m5y Std 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/10/2024 · OR 69 par22/105OR 695 @ Wolverhampton 31/03/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 68 · 1m142y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark31/03/2025 · OR 68 par5 @ Kempton 15/04/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 67 · 1m3f219y Sta 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/04/2025 · OR 67 par15/045OR 675 @ Yarmouth 22/05/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 68 · 1m2f23y Goo 135 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/05/2025 · OR 68 par5 @ Wolverhampton 23/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 67 · 1m1f104y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/06/2025 · OR 67 par23/065OR 674 @ Kempton 19/11/2025 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR 71 · 1m2f219y Sta 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/11/2025 · OR 71 par5 @ Kempton 25/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 70 · 1m Sta 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/02/2026 · OR 70 par25/025OR 705 @ Wolverhampton 07/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 69 · 1m142y Std 134 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/07/2026 · OR 69 par5 @ Southwell 23/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR 67 · 7f14y Std 135 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/07/2026 · OR 67 par23/075OR 67projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-23Southwell511th10th+1
2026-07-07Wolverhampton511th10th+1
2026-02-25Kempton54th3rd+1
2025-11-19Kempton412th10th+2
2025-06-23Wolverhampton51st0th+1
2025-05-22Yarmouth57th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/1022/0525/0223/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength52%

Delivery trend +10.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/10/20246th5/287%50%-0.37
31/03/20256th15/890%17%-0.73
15/04/20254th10/147%73%+0.25
22/05/20257th10/382%14%-0.68
23/06/20251st7/163%100%+0.37
19/11/202512th33/10%8%+0.08
25/02/20264th40/10%73%+0.73
07/07/202611th33/10%9%+0.09
23/07/202611th80/10%17%+0.17