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8

Redredrobin

9yo Mare · 10-6 · OR 55

Wolverhampton · Free Tips On attheraces.com Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 1m 1f 104y

#9

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Returned to form from out of the blue when runner-up at Brighton (7f) last month. Well held on next 2 outings and not at her best when 5 lengths second at Epsom (8.5f) last time (final start for Malcolm Saunders).

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength51%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Salisbury 15/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 70 · 6f213y Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark15/06/2025 · OR 70 par15/064OR 705 @ Epsom Downs 10/07/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 69 · 7f3y Gd 134 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/07/2025 · OR 69 par5 @ Bath 29/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 67 · 1m Fm 130 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/04/2026 · OR 67 par29/045OR 676 @ Chepstow 29/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 65 · 7f16y Goo 135 · below its mark29/05/2026 · OR 65 par5 @ Ffos Las 14/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 62 · 7f80y Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/07/2026 · OR 62 par14/075OR 626 @ Brighton 05/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 59 · 6f210y Goo 138 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 59 par5 @ Wolverhampton 17/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 59 · 7f36y Std 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/08/2026 · OR 59 par17/085OR 596 @ Chepstow 29/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 58 · 7f16y Goo 128 · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 58 par5 @ Epsom Downs 10/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 56 · 1m113y Goo 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/09/2026 · OR 56 par10/095OR 56projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Epsom Downs52nd1st+1
2026-08-29Chepstow66th6th0
2026-08-17Wolverhampton58th7th+1
2026-08-05Brighton62nd2nd0
2026-07-14Ffos Las59th8th+1
2026-05-29Chepstow68th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0629/0517/0810/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +9.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/06/20255th10/147%50%+0.03
10/07/20259th9/276%11%-0.65
29/04/20266th18/15%0%-0.05
29/05/20268th22/10%22%+0.22
14/07/20269th28/10%0%0.00
05/08/20262nd20/10%88%+0.88
17/08/20268th28/10%22%+0.22
29/08/20266th12/137%29%-0.08
10/09/20262nd16/116%88%+0.72