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5

Star Start

6yo Gelding · 10-11 · OR 60

Wolverhampton · Free Tips On attheraces.com Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 1m 1f 104y

#2

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

58%

Place Prob

37%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Proved consistent in similar events this summer, scoring at Pontefract and Haydock under Charli Parker. Rare below par effort at Newmarket 9 days ago but he's not the type to stay down for long.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength72%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Pontefract 29/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 57 · 1m2f5y Goo 145 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/06/2026 · OR 57 par29/065OR 576 @ Beverley 14/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 55 · 1m1f207y Goo 132 · beat its mark14/07/2026 · OR 55 par6 @ Beverley 28/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 55 · 1m1f207y Goo 148 · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 55 par28/076OR 556 @ Pontefract 05/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 55 · 1m2f5y Goo 151 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 55 par5 @ Catterick 17/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 57 · 1m4f13y Goo 143 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark17/08/2026 · OR 57 par17/085OR 576 @ Ripon 31/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 57 · 1m2f190y Sft 151 · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 57 par5 @ Haydock 03/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 57 · 1m3f140y Sft 143 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/09/2026 · OR 57 par3/095OR 576 @ Catterick 08/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 57 · 1m5f192y Goo 154 · beat its mark08/09/2026 · OR 57 par4 @ Newmarket 19/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 60 · 1m1f Gd 137 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/09/2026 · OR 60 par19/094OR 60projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19Newmarket411th9th+2
2026-09-08Catterick62nd2nd0
2026-09-03Haydock51st0th+1
2026-08-31Ripon62nd2nd0
2026-08-17Catterick52nd1st+1
2026-08-05Pontefract61st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/065/083/0919/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength52%

Delivery trend -1.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/06/20265th16/116%43%+0.27
14/07/20263rd17/255%75%+0.20
28/07/20262nd5/287%86%-0.01
05/08/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
17/08/20262nd9/276%83%+0.07
31/08/20262nd3/184%89%+0.05
03/09/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
08/09/20262nd13/891%80%-0.11
19/09/202611th18/15%23%+0.18