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Al Jolson

3yo Gelding · 9-11

Wolverhampton · Download The At The Races App Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 1m 142y

#2

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Night of Thunder gelding who was second on his Southwell debut last month and made the most of a good opportunity at Redcar (1m, good) since. This is a lot harder but there should be more to come.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 1.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Southwell 16/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m13y Std 13016/0844 @ Redcar 09/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 7f219y Goo 1339/094projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Redcar41st1st0
2026-08-16Southwell42nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/089/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength88%

Delivery trend +5.5% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/08/20262nd6/492%88%-0.05
09/09/20261st1/699%100%+0.01