4
Circle Of Secrets
4yo Gelding · 9-9
Wolverhampton · Download The At The Races App Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 1m 142y
#11
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Ffos Las | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Exeter | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Taunton | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-29 | Leopardstown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-04 | Fairyhouse | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -4.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/2025 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 77% | +0.22 |
| 29/12/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 79% | +0.52 |
| 12/02/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |
| 07/04/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 21/09/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |