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10

Shadow Boxer

3yo Gelding · 9-4

Wolverhampton · Download The At The Races App Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 1m 142y

#4

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

€520,000 Too Darn Hot colt who shaped encouragingly amidst greenness when third of 12 in novice at Southwell (1m) on debut in April. Has a tongue tied added back from 166 days off (gelded). Likely improver under Murphy.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Southwell 15/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m13y Std 13015/044
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-15Southwell43rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-6 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/04/20263rd12/137%82%+0.45