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Ambience

2yo Filly · 9-2

Wolverhampton · Follow AtTheRaces On Instagram EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f 36y

#4

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

11/4 and tongue tied, sixth of 7 in novice at Newmarket (6f, good to firm) on debut in May. Not seen since (has had breathing operation) but seemingly thought capable of better based on her prominence in the betting at Newmarket.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength22%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 3
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Newmarket 16/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 6f Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS16/052
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-16Newmarket26th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 4-9 · 50%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength13%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/05/20266th11/486%17%-0.69