2

Appassionata

2yo Filly · 9-2

Wolverhampton · Follow AtTheRaces On Instagram EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f 36y

#7

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★ Timeform

Commentary

Down the field on all 3 starts and won't be of interest this side of handicaps.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 7.7)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Lingfield 20/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m1y Std 12820/0833 @ Wolverhampton 01/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 7f36y Std 1281/0933 @ Yarmouth 15/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 7f3y Goo 12815/093projClass-projected finish: 4th of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Yarmouth39th9th0
2026-09-01Wolverhampton37th7th0
2026-08-20Lingfield37th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/081/0915/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 5-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -7.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/08/20267th25/10%14%+0.14
01/09/20267th125/10%25%+0.25
15/09/20269th150/10%0%0.00