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4

Quintana

2yo Filly · 9-2

Wolverhampton · Follow AtTheRaces On Instagram EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f 36y

#6

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

33/1, ran to only a modest level when sixth of 8 in maiden at Salisbury (7f, good to soft) on debut 25 days ago. Will need to step up a good deal on that but improvement is possible.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength22%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 3
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Salisbury 03/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 6f213y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS3/092
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Salisbury26th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 4-9 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength62%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/09/20266th33/10%29%+0.29