7
Speed Nation
2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 77
Wolverhampton · Follow AtTheRaces On Instagram EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 7f 36y
#1
Rank
Odds
10/11
Win Prob
96%
Place Prob
79%
Rank
#1
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Wolverhampton | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Kempton | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Kempton | 4 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +60.2% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07/2026 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 25% | -0.59 |
| 12/08/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 55% | +0.28 |
| 01/09/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 88% | +0.61 |