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Escape Magic

3yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 55

Wolverhampton · Cavani Style & Speed Handicap (Div 1) · 7f 36y

#1

Rank

Odds

13/8

Win Prob

68%

Place Prob

56%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won 7f turf events in her first 2 handicaps. Creditable placed efforts twice since and likely to be bang there if as effective back on all-weather.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength52%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Chelmsford City 30/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 7f Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS30/1055 @ Kempton 19/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 6f Sta 128 · HIGHER CLASS19/1154 @ Chelmsford City 04/12/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 6f Std 126 · HIGHER CLASS4/1246 @ Leicester 26/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 49 · 7f Goo 129 · beat its mark26/05/2026 · OR 49 par26/056OR 496 @ Chepstow 08/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 54 · 7f16y GF 129 · beat its mark08/07/2026 · OR 54 par8/076OR 546 @ Salisbury 25/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 55 · 1m Goo 133 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 55 par25/076OR 556 @ Chepstow 31/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 55 · 7f16y Goo 130 · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 55 par31/086OR 55projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Chepstow62nd2nd0
2026-07-25Salisbury63rd3rd0
2026-07-08Chepstow61st1st0
2026-05-26Leicester61st1st0
2025-12-04Chelmsford City410th8th+2
2025-11-19Kempton56th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/1026/0531/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength84%

Delivery trend -3.6% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/10/20257th10/147%33%-0.14
19/11/20256th40/10%44%+0.44
04/12/202510th100/10%0%0.00
26/05/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
08/07/20261st4/696%100%+0.04
25/07/20263rd6/492%60%-0.32
31/08/20262nd9/488%90%+0.02