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10

Horus

4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 45

Wolverhampton · Cavani Style & Speed Handicap (Div 1) · 7f 36y

#8

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Winless since sole victory in December 2024. Below par of late and best watched again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength32%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Kempton 10/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 57 · 6f Sta 132 · beat its mark10/12/2025 · OR 57 par10/126OR 576 @ Lingfield 22/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 55 · 7f1y Std 135 · beat its mark22/12/2025 · OR 55 par6 @ Southwell 04/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 54 · 6f16y Std 134 · beat its mark04/01/2026 · OR 54 par4/016OR 546 @ Kempton 19/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 52 · 6f Sta 132 · beat its mark19/01/2026 · OR 52 par6 @ Kempton 25/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 51 · 6f Sta 126 · beat its mark25/03/2026 · OR 51 par25/036OR 516 @ Lingfield 30/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 49 · 6f1y Std 129 · beat its mark30/04/2026 · OR 49 par6 @ Brighton 09/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 47 · 6f210y Gd 135 · beat its mark09/06/2026 · OR 47 par9/066OR 476 @ Lingfield 08/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 46 · 6f1y Std 135 · beat its mark08/08/2026 · OR 46 par6 @ Wolverhampton 21/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 45 · 7f36y Std 126 · beat its mark21/09/2026 · OR 45 par21/096OR 45projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-21Wolverhampton66th6th0
2026-08-18Lingfield60
2026-08-08Lingfield68th8th0
2026-06-09Brighton66th6th0
2026-04-30Lingfield67th7th0
2026-03-25Kempton69th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/1219/019/0621/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength6%

Delivery trend -2.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/12/20257th40/10%33%+0.33
22/12/20254th16/116%73%+0.57
04/01/20266th16/116%38%+0.22
19/01/20264th15/261%57%-0.03
25/03/20269th20/10%20%+0.20
30/04/20267th9/153%33%-0.19
09/06/20266th16/116%29%+0.13
08/08/20268th33/10%22%+0.22
21/09/20266th16/116%44%+0.29