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6yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 45

Wolverhampton · Cavani Style & Speed Handicap (Div 1) · 7f 36y

#9

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Not the most consistent and has followed a good second over 6f here in July with 2 poor runs.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength33%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Lingfield 21/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 45 · 7f135y GF 135 · beat its mark21/06/2025 · OR 45 par21/066OR 456 @ Yarmouth 09/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 45 · 1m3y Goo 126 · beat its mark09/07/2025 · OR 45 par6 @ Yarmouth 15/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 42 · 6f3y GF 135 · beat its mark15/08/2025 · OR 42 par15/086OR 426 @ Southwell 04/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 46 · 6f16y Std 129 · beat its mark04/09/2025 · OR 46 par6 @ Yarmouth 06/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 48 · 6f3y Gd 124 · beat its mark06/10/2025 · OR 48 par6/106OR 486 @ Southwell 21/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 47 · 7f14y Std 127 · beat its mark21/05/2026 · OR 47 par6 @ Wolverhampton 07/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 45 · 6f20y Std 126 · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 45 par7/076OR 456 @ Newcastle 31/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 47 · 6f Sta 135 · beat its mark31/07/2026 · OR 47 par6 @ Lingfield 18/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 46 · 7f1y Std 135 · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 46 par18/086OR 46projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-18Lingfield66th6th0
2026-07-31Newcastle68th8th0
2026-07-07Wolverhampton62nd2nd0
2026-05-21Southwell67th7th0
2025-10-06Yarmouth69th9th0
2025-09-04Southwell62nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/064/097/0718/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength41%

Delivery trend -0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/06/20255th20/10%50%+0.50
09/07/20256th66/10%50%+0.50
15/08/20254th20/10%50%+0.50
04/09/20252nd12/137%90%+0.53
06/10/20259th10/147%11%-0.36
21/05/20267th28/10%25%+0.25
07/07/20262nd28/10%88%+0.88
31/07/20268th20/10%42%+0.42
18/08/20266th22/10%44%+0.44