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2

Romanovich

7yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 53

Wolverhampton · Cavani Style & Speed Handicap (Div 1) · 7f 36y

#2

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

31%

Place Prob

37%

Rank

#2

★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner in March. Also third at Bath in May but below par at Chepstow when last seen in July. Now 1 lb below the mark he defied here but bounce back needed after 74 days off.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength44%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Wolverhampton 03/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 57 · 7f36y Std 132 · beat its mark03/02/2026 · OR 57 par3/026OR 576 @ Kempton 04/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 57 · 7f Sta 132 · beat its mark04/02/2026 · OR 57 par6 @ Wolverhampton 23/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 55 · 7f36y Std 135 · beat its mark23/02/2026 · OR 55 par23/026OR 556 @ Wolverhampton 23/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 54 · 7f36y Std 134 · beat its mark23/03/2026 · OR 54 par6 @ Wolverhampton 10/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 57 · 7f36y Std 127 · beat its mark10/04/2026 · OR 57 par10/046OR 576 @ Bath 04/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 57 · 1m Gd 153 · beat its mark04/05/2026 · OR 57 par5 @ Chepstow 21/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 56 · 7f16y GS 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/05/2026 · OR 56 par21/055OR 566 @ Chepstow 29/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 56 · 7f16y Goo 126 · beat its mark29/05/2026 · OR 56 par6 @ Chepstow 16/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 54 · 7f16y GF 134 · beat its mark16/07/2026 · OR 54 par16/076OR 54projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-16Chepstow610th10th0
2026-05-29Chepstow67th7th0
2026-05-21Chepstow55th4th+1
2026-05-04Bath63rd3rd0
2026-04-10Wolverhampton66th6th0
2026-03-23Wolverhampton61st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0223/0321/0516/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 12-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -7.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/02/20265th22/10%50%+0.50
04/02/20269th20/10%20%+0.20
23/02/20265th13/266%56%-0.10
23/03/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
10/04/20266th12/137%55%+0.18
04/05/20263rd10/147%80%+0.33
21/05/20265th9/276%60%-0.16
29/05/20267th4/179%33%-0.46
16/07/202610th14/126%18%-0.08