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11

Royal Justice

5yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 45

Wolverhampton · Cavani Style & Speed Handicap (Div 1) · 7f 36y

#11

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★ Timeform

Commentary

Remains a maiden after 17 starts. 200/1, last of 9 over C&D last Monday. Easy to look elsewhere.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 8.1)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Southwell 20/04/2025 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR 50 · 7f14y Std 127 · beat its mark20/04/2025 · OR 50 par20/046OR 506 @ Chepstow 13/05/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 47 · 1m14y Goo 123 · beat its mark13/05/2025 · OR 47 par6 @ Southwell 31/05/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 45 · 1m13y Std 127 · beat its mark31/05/2025 · OR 45 par31/056OR 456 @ Lingfield 19/06/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 45 · 1m2f Std 147 · beat its mark19/06/2025 · OR 45 par6 @ Newcastle 26/07/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 45 · 1m5y Sta 126 · beat its mark26/07/2025 · OR 45 par26/076OR 456 @ Newcastle 01/08/2025 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 42 · 1m2f42y Std 135 · beat its mark01/08/2025 · OR 42 par6 @ Southwell 27/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 45 · 7f14y Std 126 · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 45 par27/086OR 456 @ Wolverhampton 01/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 45 · 6f21y Std 121 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Wolverhampton 21/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 45 · 7f36y Std 128 · beat its mark21/09/2026 · OR 45 par21/096OR 45projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-21Wolverhampton69th9th0
2026-09-01Wolverhampton68th8th0
2026-08-27Southwell610th10th0
2025-08-01Newcastle611th11th0
2025-07-26Newcastle610th10th0
2025-06-19Lingfield69th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0419/0627/0821/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 9-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength6%

Delivery trend -2.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/04/202512th28/10%8%+0.08
13/05/20256th16/116%50%+0.34
31/05/20256th28/10%50%+0.50
19/06/20259th40/10%20%+0.20
26/07/202510th50/10%18%+0.18
01/08/202511th66/10%9%+0.09
27/08/202610th200/10%0%0.00
01/09/20268th100/10%30%+0.30
21/09/20269th200/10%0%0.00