1
Saisons D'Or
11yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 55
Wolverhampton · Cavani Style & Speed Handicap (Div 1) · 7f 36y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Catterick | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Newcastle | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Catterick | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Carlisle | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Catterick | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Southwell | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength29%
Delivery trend -2.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/03/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 07/04/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 28/04/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 21/05/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 15/06/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 14% | -0.67 |
| 08/07/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 38% | -0.26 |
| 31/07/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 08/09/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |