7
Aspire To Glory
5yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 47
Wolverhampton · Cavani Style & Speed Handicap (Div 2) · 7f 36y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | Brighton | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Yarmouth | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Thirsk | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Leicester | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Southwell | 6 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength17%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/2025 | 13th | 9/1 | 53% | 8% | -0.45 |
| 21/08/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 14/03/2026 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 15/04/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 11/05/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 04/07/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 16/07/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 02/08/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 20% | -0.54 |
| 05/08/2026 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |