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Music And Song

3yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 45

Wolverhampton · Cavani Style & Speed Handicap (Div 2) · 7f 36y

#12

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★ Timeform

Commentary

Ex-Irish maiden who has yet to offer much in a handful of 6f handicaps for new yard in recent weeks. Easy to look elsewhere. Engaged 1.19 Ffos Las Sunday.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength52%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 7.7)

Highest class: BHA40
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA48 @ Sligo 03/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 48 · 1m2f158y Sft 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/05/2026 · OR 48 par3/0548OR 48BHA44 @ Gowran Park 01/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 44 · 1m1f120y Yie 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/06/2026 · OR 44 parC8 @ Ballinrobe 22/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 40 · 1m1f163y Yie 130 · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 40 par22/06C8OR 40C7 @ Fairyhouse 08/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 40 · 1m2f Goo 122 · beat its mark08/07/2026 · OR 40 parBHA40 @ Ballinrobe 20/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 40 · 1m1f135y Goo 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/07/2026 · OR 40 par20/0740OR 406 @ Lingfield 08/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 39 · 6f1y Std 131 · beat its mark08/08/2026 · OR 39 par6 @ Chepstow 09/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 45 · 6f16y GF 126 · beat its mark09/08/2026 · OR 45 par9/086OR 456 @ Southwell 22/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 45 · 6f16y Std 121 · beat its mark22/09/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Ffos Las 27/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 45 · 6f Goo 124 · beat its mark27/09/2026 · OR 45 par27/096OR 45projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-27Ffos Las66th6th0
2026-09-22Southwell66th6th0
2026-08-09Chepstow66th6th0
2026-08-08Lingfield69th9th0
2026-07-20BallinrobeBHA408th6th+2
2026-07-08Fairyhouse?5th6th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/058/079/0827/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength35%

Delivery trend -4.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/05/20266th50/10%38%+0.38
01/06/202612th50/10%15%+0.15
22/06/20264th66/10%50%+0.50
08/07/20265th80/10%50%+0.50
20/07/20268th14/126%13%-0.14
08/08/20269th100/10%11%+0.11
09/08/20266th9/153%29%-0.24
22/09/20266th80/10%55%+0.55
27/09/20266th8/158%50%-0.08