9
Neat And Tidy
3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 48
Wolverhampton · Cavani Style & Speed Handicap (Div 2) · 7f 36y
#11
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength34%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 6.9)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Bath | 6 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Brighton | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Windsor | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-06 | Wolverhampton | 6 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-12-10 | Kempton | 5 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength6%
Delivery trend -8.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/2025 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 27/11/2025 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 10/12/2025 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/02/2026 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/07/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 10/08/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 24/08/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 12/09/2026 | 11th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |