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6

Ravenglass

7yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 48

Wolverhampton · Cavani Style & Speed Handicap (Div 2) · 7f 36y

#2

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

7%

Place Prob

18%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner but 14 runs since last win in 2025. 16/1, creditable fourth of 11 in handicap at Bath (1m, good to firm) 16 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength27%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Wolverhampton 27/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 56 · 7f36y Std 131 · beat its mark27/10/2025 · OR 56 par27/106OR 566 @ Wolverhampton 21/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 55 · 7f36y Std 135 · beat its mark21/04/2026 · OR 55 par6 @ Wolverhampton 08/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 54 · 7f36y Std 129 · beat its mark08/05/2026 · OR 54 par8/056OR 546 @ Leicester 25/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 53 · 7f Goo 133 · beat its mark25/05/2026 · OR 53 par6 @ Chepstow 15/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 52 · 7f16y Gd 127 · beat its mark15/06/2026 · OR 52 par15/066OR 526 @ Chepstow 27/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 53 · 6f16y GF 134 · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 53 par6 @ Chepstow 16/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 52 · 7f16y GF 132 · beat its mark16/07/2026 · OR 52 par16/076OR 526 @ Ffos Las 21/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 51 · 7f80y Gd 126 · beat its mark21/08/2026 · OR 51 par6 @ Bath 12/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 49 · 1m Goo 129 · beat its mark12/09/2026 · OR 49 par12/096OR 49projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Bath64th4th0
2026-08-21Ffos Las66th6th0
2026-07-16Chepstow66th6th0
2026-06-27Chepstow64th4th0
2026-06-15Chepstow62nd2nd0
2026-05-25Leicester66th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/1025/0516/0712/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength78%

Delivery trend -3.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/10/20254th25/10%70%+0.70
21/04/20264th12/137%57%+0.20
08/05/20267th25/10%25%+0.25
25/05/20266th12/137%50%+0.13
15/06/20262nd11/271%83%+0.12
27/06/20264th11/486%50%-0.36
16/07/20266th13/266%55%-0.11
21/08/20266th33/10%17%+0.17
12/09/20264th16/116%70%+0.54