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11

Red Walls

8yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 45

Wolverhampton · Cavani Style & Speed Handicap (Div 2) · 7f 36y

#8

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Five-time course winner but he arrives here on a 25-race winless run, including finishing down the field at Ayr when last seen 7 weeks ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Wolverhampton 22/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 48 · 6f20y Std 131 · beat its mark22/09/2025 · OR 48 par22/096OR 486 @ Southwell 03/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 47 · 4f214y Std 132 · beat its mark03/10/2025 · OR 47 par6 @ Wolverhampton 28/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 48 · 6f20y Std 128 · beat its mark28/10/2025 · OR 48 par28/106OR 486 @ Wolverhampton 03/11/2025 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 48 · 7f36y Std 128 · beat its mark03/11/2025 · OR 48 par6 @ Wolverhampton 25/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 46 · 6f20y Std 126 · beat its mark25/11/2025 · OR 46 par25/116OR 466 @ Wolverhampton 08/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 45 · 6f20y Std 117 · beat its mark08/12/2025 · OR 45 par6 @ Wolverhampton 26/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 45 · 6f20y Std 126 · beat its mark26/01/2026 · OR 45 par26/016OR 456 @ Wolverhampton 07/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 45 · 6f20y Std 126 · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Ayr 10/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR 45 · 6f Goo 124 · beat its mark10/08/2026 · OR 45 par10/086OR 45projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-10Ayr612th12th0
2026-07-07Wolverhampton68th8th0
2026-01-26Wolverhampton63rd3rd0
2025-12-08Wolverhampton68th8th0
2025-11-25Wolverhampton68th8th0
2025-11-03Wolverhampton611th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/093/1126/0110/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength18%

Delivery trend -0.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/09/20252nd12/137%91%+0.54
03/10/20257th12/137%33%-0.04
28/10/20254th12/137%70%+0.33
03/11/202511th22/10%9%+0.09
25/11/20258th11/142%42%-0.00
08/12/20258th50/10%13%+0.13
26/01/20263rd16/116%78%+0.62
07/07/20268th66/10%22%+0.22
10/08/202612th100/10%8%+0.08